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Kenpom, et al.

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  • red_n_black_attack
    replied
    Number 71 in NET rating this morning. We have 3 top 25 games left, only one at home. With 7 games left, we are in a position where we need every win possible, or win the conference Tourney (highly unlikely).

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  • D.A.H.
    replied
    Originally posted by loshow22 View Post

    Sad thing is that yes, we blew those games, however...there is nothing in the Wes Miller coaching pedigree to suggest we actually shouldn't have blown those games. Look at his record when tied or trailing with under 5 minutes remaining in games. To me, that speaks volumes about late game management, or lack there of. Sad, but true.
    and, as bill rafferty would put, about the "stones" on this group

    Leave a comment:


  • loshow22
    replied
    Originally posted by Gypo O'Leary View Post

    Since the season seems dead to me, it is interesting to consider that the Bearcats have 'blown' 4 games this year. E. Mich / X / West Va. / UCF If you flip those games, we are 15-7 and would be in hunt.
    Sad thing is that yes, we blew those games, however...there is nothing in the Wes Miller coaching pedigree to suggest we actually shouldn't have blown those games. Look at his record when tied or trailing with under 5 minutes remaining in games. To me, that speaks volumes about late game management, or lack there of. Sad, but true.

    Leave a comment:


  • longtimefan
    replied
    And according to Torvik, UC has played 4 league games against the number 2-3-4 teams in the country. 1-3 in those games, we couldn’t realistically expect more. We’re done with those three teams. Now they have to beat the teams they can beat. Starts Wednesday.

    Leave a comment:


  • longtimefan
    replied
    Originally posted by D.A.H. View Post

    i'm sorry - unless there's some sort of miracle, i just can't see this team being anywhere near the tourny - with the recent track record, I don't think they'll get the nod over what will be a huge bottleneck, of mediocre teams hoping to make the first four.
    The toughest part of the schedule (by far) is behind them. Now coming up on a bunch of games they should win, they may have to play without Thiam and Abaev. More of that Kenpom bad luck.

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  • D.A.H.
    replied
    Originally posted by Carthage World View Post
    I used Torvik's Teamcast tool to forecast our remaining regular season games.

    I figured the most realistic "best case scenario" would be to finish 7-2 with losses @Kansas and @Texas Tech.

    That would put us at 18-13 overall and 10-8 in the conference heading into the conference tournament. Torvik had us as the "third team out" of the NCAA tournament should we get to that point.
    i'm sorry - unless there's some sort of miracle, i just can't see this team being anywhere near the tourny - with the recent track record, I don't think they'll get the nod over what will be a huge bottleneck, of mediocre teams hoping to make the first four.

    Leave a comment:


  • Gypo O'Leary
    replied
    Originally posted by Carthage World View Post
    I used Torvik's Teamcast tool to forecast our remaining regular season games.

    I figured the most realistic "best case scenario" would be to finish 7-2 with losses @Kansas and @Texas Tech.

    That would put us at 18-13 overall and 10-8 in the conference heading into the conference tournament. Torvik had us as the "third team out" of the NCAA tournament should we get to that point.
    Since the season seems dead to me, it is interesting to consider that the Bearcats have 'blown' 4 games this year. E. Mich / X / West Va. / UCF If you flip those games, we are 15-7 and would be in hunt.

    Leave a comment:


  • Carthage World
    replied
    I used Torvik's Teamcast tool to forecast our remaining regular season games.

    I figured the most realistic "best case scenario" would be to finish 7-2 with losses @Kansas and @Texas Tech.

    That would put us at 18-13 overall and 10-8 in the conference heading into the conference tournament. Torvik had us as the "third team out" of the NCAA tournament should we get to that point.

    Leave a comment:


  • sedz
    replied
    Torvik shows the team's ranking going into each game. We started at 40, improved to 38 after Dayton, dropped all the way to 86 after Clemson, and now have clawed our way back up to 46. Biggest drop was 40 to 63 after EMU. Biggest gain was 57 to 45 after Iowa St.

    Leave a comment:

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