In a very physical game, UH hung in to beat KS, 65-59, at home on Senior Night. The Cougars had 17 offensive rebounds and forced 20 turnovers, but shot miserably. The Jayhawks now are 10-9 in B12 play.
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I was curious as to how close the typical B12 game is (in terms of final scores). I put together an Excel page and found the following concerning the 160 conference games played this season:
23 (14.38%) ended with the teams within 3 points;
89 (55.63%) ended with a difference of at least 10 points;
Road teams won 59 games (36.88%), with a mean margin of 10.07 (home teams won with a mean margin of 12.87);
The mean scoring difference in all games was skewed towards home teams at +4.41 (essentially a "home court advantage");
14 of the 16 teams lost at least one game by 16+; 7 of those lost by 30+ at least once. (The worst was KU's 51-point blowout of UCF). UC's worst was the 28-point loss at BYU. The two teams that had no large losses? UH (1-point to TT) and TT (8-points to UH).
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Originally posted by swilsonsp4 View PostI was curious as to how close the typical B12 game is (in terms of final scores). I put together an Excel page and found the following concerning the 160 conference games played this season:
23 (14.38%) ended with the teams within 3 points;
89 (55.63%) ended with a difference of at least 10 points;
Road teams won 59 games (36.88%), with a mean margin of 10.07 (home teams won with a mean margin of 12.87);
The mean scoring difference in all games was skewed towards home teams at +4.41 (essentially a "home court advantage");
14 of the 16 teams lost at least one game by 16+; 7 of those lost by 30+ at least once. (The worst was KU's 51-point blowout of UCF). UC's worst was the 28-point loss at BYU. The two teams that had no large losses? UH (1-point to TT) and TT (8-points to UH).
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Originally posted by sedz View PostNice analysis. I wonder how these numbers compare to other conferences, especially road performance.
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Jizzle James = All-Big 12 Honorable Mention https://gobearcats.com/news/2025/3/1...e-mention.aspx
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Here are my B12 awards based on conference BPM (min 20 mpg).
First Team
Henri Veesaar (Arizona)
JT Toppin (Texas Tech)
VJ Edgecombe (Baylor)
Joshua Jefferson (Iowa St)
Richie Saunders (BYU)
Second Team
Javon Small (West Virginia)
LJ Cryer (Houston)
Emanuel Sharp (Houston)
Bangot Dak (Colorado)
Milos Uzan (Houston)
Third Team
Hunter Dickinson (Kansas)
Marchelus Avery (Oklahoma St)
Norchad Omier (Baylor)
Tobe Awaka (Arizona)
Elijah Hawkins (Texas Tech)
All Defense
Joshua Jefferson (Iowa St)
Joseph Tugler (Houston)
Sencire Harris (West Virginia)
Bangot Dak (Colorado)
Nate Heise (Iowa St)
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I took the time to finish off the B1G and SEC scoring differentials and added the ACC, which has the highest proportion of double-digit wins. That is distorted by the results of Duke and Miami games. The Blue Devils won 17 times in their 20 games by two digits (some by big margins), while Miami lost by two figures 14 times.
*Of the 142 ACC games in which neither Duke nor The U played, the % of two-digit margins would be 52.82.Stat Measured ACC B12 B1G SEC Road Win % 37.22 36.22 43.33 40.28 Rd Win Margin Mean 12.09 10.07 8.71 7.95 Hm Win Margin Mean 12.12 12.87 12.51 13.53 % of Margins < 4 16.11 14.38 18.89 17.36 % of Margins > 9 57.78* 55.63 44.44 50.00 Overall Mean 2.22 4.41 3.32 3.60 Standard Deviation 14.37 13.82 13.26 12.65
It’s clear that the B1G was the most competitive this season, at least in terms of highest proportion of one-score games to fewest double-digit margins.
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Interesting stuff, swilsonsp4 . Our conference (outside of Houston) is not quite as top heavy as the SEC and their handful of teams good enough to beat anybody on the road (but by small margins). And as you point out, we don't have terrible teams like Miami or BC who lost multiple home games by 26 points. That 43% road win in the B1G is surprising. For all the complaining those teams do about travel, they perform better on the road than other conference.
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