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Here is another game that UC is not likely to win. Here are the reasons why. In conference play, UC is scoring only 64 points a game while allowing 67 points a game. UC is shooting 42% while opponents are shooting 47.9%. UC is shooting 28% from three while opponents are shooting 40%. Finally, UC is being outrebounded 33.7 to 30. Only Thiam and Thomas are scoring in double figures.
Colorado, on the other hand is outscoring teams by 5.3 (83.7 to 78.3), outshooting teams (45% to 42%), holding teams to 29% from three, outrebounding teams by 2 (40 to 38), has 4 players scoring in double figures (from 17 a game to 11 a game), and has another 3 players that score from 5 to 7 points a game.
UC's conference stats are below dismal, both defensive and offensive. In 5 years of league play under Miller, UC has had dismal stats for 4 of those years. Here is the most heart-breaking thing of all. Under Miller, UC has NOT had a home court advantage in BIG XII conference play. Under Miller, UC is as likely to get beaten at home as on the road.
UC's lack of players that can make winning plays when the game is in the balance along with a coaching staff that lacks imaginative strategizing has doomed this team during the Miller era.
Probability is not on UC's side for this game and will not likely be on UC's side all conference season.
Not sure if this is the correct heading or if its posted elsewhere, but I'm catching a lot of social media posts that the students/fans are planning to wear brown paper bags to cover their heads in support of the dissatisfaction of the current state of AD, basketball, and football. I'm into the concept as it seems like a clever way for fans to effectively demonstrate their displeasure, but I wonder if at the end of the day if it makes things worse. Satterfield, as a perpetual loser, seems more equipped for the ride and complacent in his role as a loser. Wes struggles with losing, as its new to him. His outbursts "us vs. the world" suggests he's struggling to handle being on the wrong side of the bounces. This comes at a time that the schedule that doesn't have a win on paper in Jan (or Feb for that matter) and I'm curious as to how this will help.
Like us, Colorado is a bad team that can play well at times. They beat Providence and Washington, but also lost to Northern Colorado and needed overtime to beat Eastern Washington. They have played an easy conference schedule so far, facing the only 100+ teams in Utah and Arizona St. So comparing conference only numbers doesn't mean much only 3 games in. They were down 24 to Texas Tech before a big run cut the deficit to 2 in the final minute, similar to our Clemson game.
Colorado is a poor defensive team, coming in at #161. They've given up at least a point per possession in all but 3 games this year, and at least 0.99 to every top 300 opponent. In their two road games, they surrendered 91 points in 67 possessions at Colorado St and 95 points in 80 possessions at Arizona St. So even our outdated offense should be able to score. They are #57 on offense, scoring at least 0.97 in every game and 1.10+ in all but two. Overall #92. Freshman guard Isaiah Johnson is their best player with a 9.1 BPM. He shoots 44% from deep and gets to the free throw line 7 times per game where he converts 83%.
Torvik gives us a 70% chance to win with a 76-71 score prediction.
Like us, Colorado is a bad team that can play well at times. They beat Providence and Washington, but also lost to Northern Colorado and needed overtime to beat Eastern Washington. They have played an easy conference schedule so far, facing the only 100+ teams in Utah and Arizona St. So comparing conference only numbers doesn't mean much only 3 games in. They were down 24 to Texas Tech before a big run cut the deficit to 2 in the final minute, similar to our Clemson game.
Colorado is a poor defensive team, coming in at #161. They've given up at least a point per possession in all but 3 games this year, and at least 0.99 to every top 300 opponent. In their two road games, they surrendered 91 points in 67 possessions at Colorado St and 95 points in 80 possessions at Arizona St. So even our outdated offense should be able to score. They are #57 on offense, scoring at least 0.97 in every game and 1.10+ in all but two. Overall #92. Freshman guard Isaiah Johnson is their best player with a 9.1 BPM. He shoots 44% from deep and gets to the free throw line 7 times per game where he converts 83%.
Torvik gives us a 70% chance to win with a 76-71 score prediction.
Great analysis. However, on the season Colorado is 12-4 and 2-1 in the conference. Colorado also has 4 Power Conference wins (2 outside the conference and 2 inside the conference). UC on the season is 8-8 and 0-3 in the conference. UC has zero (0) Power Conference wins. Colorado has a Net ranking of 69. UC has a Net ranking of 94. If I were a betting man, I would be hard pressed to put my money on Cincinnati for the Colorado game. What team would you put your money on?
"Freshman guard Isaiah Johnson is their best player with a 9.1 BPM. He shoots 44% from deep and gets to the free throw line 7 times per game where he converts 83%."
I wish that our guards got to the line 7 times per game.
Originally posted by leeraymond372@gmail.comView Post
Great analysis. However, on the season Colorado is 12-4 and 2-1 in the conference. Colorado also has 4 Power Conference wins (2 outside the conference and 2 inside the conference). UC on the season is 8-8 and 0-3 in the conference. UC has zero (0) Power Conference wins. Colorado has a Net ranking of 69. UC has a Net ranking of 94. If I were a betting man, I would be hard pressed to put my money on Cincinnati for the Colorado game. What team would you put your money on?
What are the odds coming from Vegas or ESPN?
Colorado hasn't played a good schedule. Only one game against the top 50. We've played 6 top 50 teams. Just some context behind those records.
As I said, both of these teams are very inconsistent and I wouldn't feel confident in either of them. Vegas has Colorado favored by 6. Force my hand and I'll take the points on the Bearcats.
"Freshman guard Isaiah Johnson is their best player with a 9.1 BPM. He shoots 44% from deep and gets to the free throw line 7 times per game where he converts 83%."
I wish that our guards got to the line 7 times per game.
Yes. I'll even take 7 times for both guard spots combined.
Like many teams across the sport, Colorado had a lot of turnover last offseason. They lost 7 of their top 10 players from 24/25, but Tad Boyle has surprisingly replaced most of them with true freshmen and only brought in one impact transfer - a small lead guard from UC Riverside who averaged 20 ppg last season.
While UC has greatly underachieved relative to expectations, I'd say that Colorado has overachieved. They have an unheralded true freshman guard (Isaiah Johnson) who comes off the bench every game and just gives the other team straight buckets.
We have the talent to beat them by double digits but Boyle is a much better coach than Wes, so we can just as easily lose as well.
Colorado hasn't played a good schedule. Only one game against the top 50. We've played 6 top 50 teams. Just some context behind those records.
As I said, both of these teams are very inconsistent and I wouldn't feel confident in either of them. Vegas has Colorado favored by 6. Force my hand and I'll take the points on the Bearcats.
Since UC has started conference play, it has perhaps played its most competitive ball all season. Maybe against Colorado, UC can put together a total game and get the win. Despite the stats and everything else, I am still rooting for UC.
Originally posted by Big_Daddy_Bearcat_07View Post
Not sure if this is the correct heading or if its posted elsewhere, but I'm catching a lot of social media posts that the students/fans are planning to wear brown paper bags to cover their heads in support of the dissatisfaction of the current state of AD, basketball, and football. I'm into the concept as it seems like a clever way for fans to effectively demonstrate their displeasure, but I wonder if at the end of the day if it makes things worse. Satterfield, as a perpetual loser, seems more equipped for the ride and complacent in his role as a loser. Wes struggles with losing, as its new to him. His outbursts "us vs. the world" suggests he's struggling to handle being on the wrong side of the bounces. This comes at a time that the schedule that doesn't have a win on paper in Jan (or Feb for that matter) and I'm curious as to how this will help.
I'll be at the game but under no circumstances will I ever wear a bag over my head. It's childish and disrespectful of the players. If anyone wants to express their displeasure, contact the university powers-that-be.
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