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2026 March Madness Thread

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  • #31
    Originally posted by bearcatbret View Post
    Speaking of Miami, their record is extremely impressive from any league. However, they have been sneaking out games throughout the season either with buzzer beaters or in OT against some really bad teams (probably because they have a target on their backs and brings opponent's A game). I have seen some "experts" say that if Miami does not win their conference tournament, they will not make the dance. If that happens, it would be a travesty but would help UC. So, as mentioned above, either fizzle out soon or win the MAC tournament.
    Miami shouldn't be penalized for sneaking them out, but I don't think you want to see two MAC schools -- regardless of UC's position. But from a bubble perspective Carthage World nailed it above.

    Go Flyers

    WVU/UCF -- since when are Big 12 games held on a Friday?

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    • #32
      UCF at WVU tonight.. We need a WVU loss.

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      • #33
        Caleb Wilson, leading scorer for top 20 UNC, out for the year (thumb)

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        • #34
          Belmont, the #1 seed in the Missouri Valley, got hammered in its Arch Madness opener -- will be an even tougher pill for Belmont fans to swallow if the coach gets poached for a bigger job

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          • #35
            Originally posted by BearKatz View Post
            UCF at WVU tonight.. We need a WVU loss.
            WVU is likely toast. They're in a worse spot than us despite their season sweep.

            UCF is in danger of falling out of the top 50 in both Kenpom and Torvik, which is a precarious position. They're getting bubbly after two straight home losses to bottom half B12 teams.

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            • #36
              I always disliked when UC "needed help" to get off the bubble, but I'll take it. If nothing else, it makes watching games more enjoyable.

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              • #37
                WVU 77 - UCF 62. How important are those earlier Bearcat losses.

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                • #38
                  Tennessee State is dancing

                  DerMarr Johnson is an assistant.

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                  • #39
                    Lombardi still has UC in the first four out.

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                    • #40
                      So after the loss yesterday UC is number….
                      30 in Torvik
                      42 in KenPom
                      49 in Net

                      Those are all slightly down. The problem now is how far up will 1,2, or 3 victories next week move us? The three opponents are Utah, UCF, Arizona. Would two wins get us in, or do we have to beat Arizona?

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                      • #41
                        Originally posted by longtimefan View Post
                        So after the loss yesterday UC is number….
                        30 in Torvik
                        42 in KenPom
                        49 in Net

                        Those are all slightly down. The problem now is how far up will 1,2, or 3 victories next week move us? The three opponents are Utah, UCF, Arizona. Would two wins get us in, or do we have to beat Arizona?
                        0-1 wins, no chance.

                        2 wins, cross our fingers that the committee accounts for Jizzle joining us late and Celestine's injury, other bubble teams lose early, there are few bid thieves. Would help that we might be eliminating UCF by beating them (making the game essentially a play-in game). I think 60% if a good number, as my feeling is we'd probably be in, but a lot could go wrong.

                        3 wins and we are comfortably in.

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                        • #42
                          Originally posted by zykarious View Post

                          0-1 wins, no chance.

                          2 wins, cross our fingers that the committee accounts for Jizzle joining us late and Celestine's injury, other bubble teams lose early, there are few bid thieves. Would help that we might be eliminating UCF by beating them (making the game essentially a play-in game). I think 60% if a good number, as my feeling is we'd probably be in, but a lot could go wrong.

                          3 wins and we are comfortably in.
                          Beat Utah and UCF - doesn't move the needle for us. There's a good chance the UCF game won't even be Q1.

                          Beat Arizona in the quarters - this win would turn heads. Would it be too little too late? I'd say it gives us a 50/50 chance of getting in.

                          Beat Texas Tech/Iowa St in the semis - I think this would be enough for us to get picked on Selection Sunday.

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                          • #43
                            I read somewhere that the committee is too lazy to take into consideration the conference tournaments. UC will have to beat Arizona but I also believe that they will need to at least make the finals in the tournament. I suspect that nothing short of winning it will be good enough. The loss yesterday took a huge beating on the teams hope of being selected in one week.

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                            • #44
                              Originally posted by Carthage World View Post

                              Beat Utah and UCF - doesn't move the needle for us. There's a good chance the UCF game won't even be Q1.

                              Beat Arizona in the quarters - this win would turn heads. Would it be too little too late? I'd say it gives us a 50/50 chance of getting in.

                              Beat Texas Tech/Iowa St in the semis - I think this would be enough for us to get picked on Selection Sunday.
                              UCF slipped from #50 (last Q1 spot) to #51 this morning. Since UC needs to beat them, the Knights most certainly would not move up.

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                              • #45
                                The ‘Cats only path to an NCAA appearance is to win the BigXII tournament. They do not have a hope for an at large bid. Win or bust.

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