2024-2025 Schedule

[GoBearcats31]

Xavier picked up its second straight big win today

Dayton avoided another loss with an alley oop from half court to win in OT

Georgia Tech continues to struggle

[Carthage World]

Xavier picked up its second straight big win today

Dayton avoided another loss with an alley oop from half court to win in OT

Georgia Tech continues to struggle

Dayton dropped 10 spots in NET (64 to 74) despite winning.

Maybe the biggest boost to our team sheet yesterday was Kansas St only losing by 10 at Kansas - hence boosting their NET ranking by 12 spots (132 to 120), keeping them as a Q2 loss for the time being.

[GoBearcats31]

https://x.com/bearcatbunch/status/18...A2NHZ_hNyS2mFg

https://x.com/bearcatbunch/status/18...A2NHZ_hNyS2mFg

[swilsonsp4]

Final: Georgetown 64, @ Nova 63

[sedz]

https://x.com/bearcatbunch/status/18...A2NHZ_hNyS2mFg

https://x.com/bearcatbunch/status/18...A2NHZ_hNyS2mFg

Screenshot is from here: https://bracketologists.com/team/cincinnati-bearcats

[Carthage World]

Xavier chokes away a 16-point second half lead at MSG as St John's wins by 8 in OT and completes the regular season sweep.

[GoBearcats31]

Suddenly that Xavier game looks like a quality resume win

[Carthage World]

Suddenly that Xavier game looks like a quality resume win

Xavier beats #35 UConn by 4 at home and drops 2 spots in NET. UC loses to #43 BYU by 28 on the road and drops 6 spots in NET.

The NET is weird.

[sedz]

Xavier beats #35 UConn by 4 at home and drops 2 spots in NET. UC loses to #43 BYU by 28 on the road and drops 6 spots in NET.

The NET is weird.

Torvik's model predicted a 73-72 Xavier win and the score was 76-72, so they basically held steady, passed by Oregon St and UC San Diego who had bigger wins.

We probably didn't drop as much as expected because teams just below us like Penn St, Boise St, UC Irvine, and Nebraska also lost in the last couple days.

[sedz]

St Bonaventure blasted Dayton by 22.

[sedz]

Looking at the remaining schedule, we've got a total of 5.7 Wins Above Bubble (WAB) remaining. We're currently at -1.0 and need to be around 1.0 to get near the cut line. If we sweep the remaining games we'd be at 4.7 WAB. Each loss takes 1.0 off that.

With 11 games left I'd say:
8-3 or better = in
7-4 = bubble
6-5 = bubble out
5-6 or worse = no chance

[longtimefan]

Easiest way to 8-3 is win all 6 at home, and go 2-3 on the road. Not an easy task, and frankly not likely.

[GoBearcats31]

Easiest way to 8-3 is win all 6 at home, and go 2-3 on the road. Not an easy task, and frankly not likely.

4 of the 6 home games left are against teams UC has already lost to: BYU, Utah, Baylor and Kansas State

2 of the 5 away games left are against Houston (#1 Ken Pom, #2 NET) and Iowa State (#5 Ken Pom, #7 NET)

Obviously if UC did some damage and put themselves in the discussion, they'd have more quality wins available in the Big 12 tourney. I guess let's start with WVU and go from there.