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2025-26 Roster

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  • zykarious
    replied
    Originally posted by sedz View Post
    I could see that rotation. I'm not convinced by any of these guys except Thiam. The 3 and 4 positions are up for grabs and we could play several different styles. I'll need to see Haynes defending the perimeter before I decide if he can play 4, but I have a hard time imagining a 260 lb guy staying in front of wings like Demin and Dybantsa.
    I wonder if Rayvon or Betsey will decide they like their odds returning over trying to get minutes elsewhere, hope to come back for a "prove it" year at a high level, then get paid next year. They can both play the 4 and I think there's a chance either could win the role over the guys we have right now. Have to think Wes is looking to add at least one more PF to the mix to compete for minutes at that position.

    PG, SG and C seem pretty much settled. SF Harris/Abaev likely have they majority of minutes locked down as well, though it seems less certain.

    But PF seems like a position Wes is getting guys who aren't clearly good enough to be given the starting spot and telling them he'll give them a chance. I could see Rayvon or Betsey (or a guy like them, trying to prove themselves at the high major level) looking at Celestine (undersized, not great at defense or rebounding), Haynes (moving up a level, probably not quick enough to guard 4's and fouls too much) and McKinley (redshirt freshman, unknown, coming off a major knee injury) and saying to themselves, I can win the starting role (or at least 15-20 minutes per game) over those 3.

    Leave a comment:


  • sedz
    replied
    FWIW, here's Torvik's minutes distribution with the newest additions.

    PG: Kriisa 25 / Day Day 8 / Tillery 7
    SG: James 21 / Day Day 19
    SF: Harris 15 / Abaev 13 / James 11 / Celestine 1
    PF: Celestine 25 / Haynes 11 / McKinley 4
    C: Thiam 30 / Haynes 10

    Leave a comment:


  • sedz
    replied
    Originally posted by zykarious View Post

    I'm not convinced by Celestine, his rebounding numbers aren't that good and reading Baylor forums they didn't think he was a good defender. He's a shooter, but that's pretty much it. Seems more like a 10-15 minute per game guy off the bench unless something goes wrong. He'd be very undersized and poor at rebounding for a PF.

    I think the plan is for Haynes to start at the 4 and that could spell trouble too, as he's foul prone and struggles to guard the perimeter even as a 5. Maybe we still have money to add a PF, but I expect all the projected starters are already on the roster. I'd like to add bigger wing as a backup who can defend and rebound at the 3 or 4.

    My projection as of now.

    PG: Day Day 15 / Kriisa 20 / Tillery 5
    SG: James 25 / Day Day 10 / Harris 5
    SF: Harris 20 / Abaev 15 / Celestine 5
    PF: Haynes 20 / McKinley 15 / Celestine 5
    C: Thiam 25 / Haynes 5 / McKinley 5 / Dzellat 5
    I could see that rotation. I'm not convinced by any of these guys except Thiam. The 3 and 4 positions are up for grabs and we could play several different styles. I'll need to see Haynes defending the perimeter before I decide if he can play 4, but I have a hard time imagining a 260 lb guy staying in front of wings like Demin and Dybantsa.

    Leave a comment:


  • zykarious
    replied
    Originally posted by sedz View Post
    I'm currently penciling in Celestine at the 4.

    PG: Kriisa 20 / Day Day 10 / Tillery 10
    SG: James 25 / Day Day 15
    SF: Harris 20 / Abaev 20
    PF: Celestine 20 / McKinley 15 / Haynes 5
    C: Thiam 25 / Haynes 15

    If we get a rebounder like Durugordon, maybe Celestine plays more at the 3.
    I'm not convinced by Celestine, his rebounding numbers aren't that good and reading Baylor forums they didn't think he was a good defender. He's a shooter, but that's pretty much it. Seems more like a 10-15 minute per game guy off the bench unless something goes wrong. He'd be very undersized and poor at rebounding for a PF.

    I think the plan is for Haynes to start at the 4 and that could spell trouble too, as he's foul prone and struggles to guard the perimeter even as a 5. Maybe we still have money to add a PF, but I expect all the projected starters are already on the roster. I'd like to add bigger wing as a backup who can defend and rebound at the 3 or 4.

    My projection as of now.

    PG: Day Day 15 / Kriisa 20 / Tillery 5
    SG: James 25 / Day Day 10 / Harris 5
    SF: Harris 20 / Abaev 15 / Celestine 5
    PF: Haynes 20 / McKinley 15 / Celestine 5
    C: Thiam 25 / Haynes 5 / McKinley 5 / Dzellat 5

    Leave a comment:


  • sedz
    replied
    Originally posted by red_n_black_attack View Post

    Redshirt for Dzellat?
    I don't see value in having more than a 10 man rotation. So yes, I would redshirt Dzellat. Maybe Tillery too if we add another transfer.

    Leave a comment:


  • sedz
    replied
    Originally posted by Bearcat9796 View Post
    this roster unquestionably better than last years.
    yes or no?
    best decision making metric?
    hope the newbies score high on it
    I'm excited...again....
    Slightly worse per Torvik. We began last season at #27. Our projected roster right now would be #30.

    Leave a comment:


  • dmoney70
    replied
    Originally posted by Bearcat9796 View Post
    this roster unquestionably better than last years.
    yes or no?
    best decision making metric?
    hope the newbies score high on it
    I'm excited...again....
    I would temper that to save you some heartache later. I mean the Coach hasn't entered the portal, has he?

    Leave a comment:


  • red_n_black_attack
    replied
    Originally posted by sedz View Post
    I'm currently penciling in Celestine at the 4.

    PG: Kriisa 20 / Day Day 10 / Tillery 10
    SG: James 25 / Day Day 15
    SF: Harris 20 / Abaev 20
    PF: Celestine 20 / McKinley 15 / Haynes 5
    C: Thiam 25 / Haynes 15

    If we get a rebounder like Durugordon, maybe Celestine plays more at the 3.
    Redshirt for Dzellat?

    Leave a comment:


  • Bearcat9796
    replied
    this roster unquestionably better than last years.
    yes or no?
    best decision making metric?
    hope the newbies score high on it
    I'm excited...again....

    Leave a comment:


  • sedz
    replied
    I'm currently penciling in Celestine at the 4.

    PG: Kriisa 20 / Day Day 10 / Tillery 10
    SG: James 25 / Day Day 15
    SF: Harris 20 / Abaev 20
    PF: Celestine 20 / McKinley 15 / Haynes 5
    C: Thiam 25 / Haynes 15

    If we get a rebounder like Durugordon, maybe Celestine plays more at the 3.

    Leave a comment:


  • GoBearcats31
    replied
    Originally posted by GoBearcats31 View Post
    Transfers in: Kriisa, Harris, Haynes, Thiam, Celestine

    Confirmed returning: James

    Returning unless they post otherwise: Thomas, McKinley, Dzellat

    Signed HS prospects: Abaev, Tillery


    Guards - James, Thomas, Kriisa, Harris, Tillery
    Wings - Abaev, Celestine
    Bigs - Thiam, Haynes, Dzellat, McKinley
    Possible #s (based on visit photoshoots / commitment graphics):

    1 - Abaev
    10 - Harris
    11 - Haynes or Tillery
    32 - Celestine
    52 - Thiam
    77 - Kriisa
    Last edited by GoBearcats31; 04-21-2025, 12:43 PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • GoBearcats31
    replied
    Transfers in: Kriisa, Harris, Haynes, Thiam, Celestine

    Confirmed returning: James

    Returning unless they post otherwise: Thomas, McKinley, Dzellat

    Signed HS prospects: Abaev, Tillery


    Guards - James, Thomas, Kriisa, Harris, Tillery
    Wings - Abaev, Celestine
    Bigs - Thiam, Haynes, Dzellat, McKinley
    Last edited by GoBearcats31; 04-21-2025, 12:35 PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • sedz
    replied
    Originally posted by red_n_black_attack View Post

    Thiam aside, do you think McKinley might be on the floor with Abaev at the 3 when we go big? I'm kinda stoked about Tyler, and hear he is the real deal. Tyler/Shon just might be the reasoning behind Betsey and Rayvon hitting the portal. I don't really see Harris at the 3 spot, and Shon may be the 4 at times
    I'd say Abaev is a pure perimeter guard. If we play him at the 4 we basically have a 4 guard lineup. Our roster is full of guards. If Harris isn't playing the 3, whose minutes is he cutting into at the 1 and 2 spots? We already have 4 PGs competing for 80 minutes there.

    Leave a comment:


  • red_n_black_attack
    replied
    Originally posted by sedz View Post
    Algorithms aside, this is my depth chart guess.

    PG: Kriisa 20 / Day Day 10 / Tillery 10
    SG: James 25 / Day Day 15
    SF: Harris 20 / Abaev 20
    PF: TRANSFER 20 / McKinley 15 / Haynes 5
    C: Thiam 25 / Haynes 15
    Thiam aside, do you think McKinley might be on the floor with Abaev at the 3 when we go big? I'm kinda stoked about Tyler, and hear he is the real deal. Tyler/Shon just might be the reasoning behind Betsey and Rayvon hitting the portal. I don't really see Harris at the 3 spot, and Shon may be the 4 at times

    Leave a comment:


  • Oldtimer_UC_fan
    replied
    Originally posted by sedz View Post
    Torvik has a crude Roster Cast tool where you can plug in any player and it will project the team efficiency margin. It obviously makes some assumptions about minutes distribution, some of which don't make much sense. With the current roster we're at 17.4, which would have been #40 last season. Adding Thiam bumps us to 19.7 (#29). Here's how it sees the minutes (position assignments are mine):

    PG: Kriisa 25 / Day Day 15
    SG: James 27 / Day Day 13
    SF: Harris 22 / Tillery 13 / James 5
    PF: Abaev 15 / Haynes 14 / McKinley 7 / Harris 4
    C: Thiam 30 / Haynes 7 / Dzellat 3

    It struggles with the 3 and 4 positions - PGs getting time at the 3 while a C and SG get most of the minutes at 4. It doesn't see a major role for McKinley. Hopefully we can bring in a true 4 or big wing.
    Are we already counting Thiam?

    Leave a comment:

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